Politics
7 takeaways from Missouri’s historic primary election

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After months of cutting attacks and millions of dollars spent, Missouri Republicans and Democrats finally brought a conclusion to a consequential primary season.Tuesday’s results could take the politics of both Missouri and St. Louis in markedly different directions. Much of that path will depend on what happens in this November’s general election, which may contain dynamics that weren’t there when Republicans romped to victory in 2016 and 2020.
Sophie Proe
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St.Louis Public RadioDr. Fredrick Echols holds a Wesley Bell for Congress sign at Marriott St. Louis Grand Majestic Ballroom after finding out Bell won the primary election on Tuesday.
Did Wesley Bell’s avalanche of money attract Black voters to his side?There’s been plenty of commentary, and criticism, of the flood of money from pro-Israel groups that sought to boost St. Louis County Prosecutor Wesley Bell’s candidacy against Congresswoman Cori Bush. But the big unanswered question was whether that effort would move Black voters to his side, especially since African Americans typically don’t vote a certain way because of a candidate’s stance on Israel.Looking at the ward-by-ward results in St. Louis and St. Louis County, Bell did substantially better in majority African American wards than state Sen. Steve Roberts did against Bush in 2022. And he won almost every St. Louis County township, including heavily African American ones. The ones Bush prevailed in, which contained a majority of Black residents, only went for the congresswoman by a few hundred votes.
Brian Munoz
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St. Louis Public RadioU.S. Rep. Cori Bush, D-St. Louis County, waves after delivering her concession speech on Tuesday during a campaign watch party at the Chèvre Events Center in Downtown West.
It’s clear that enough Black residents voted for Bell for him to win — both because he easily won in the St. Louis County part of the district and was able to hold Bush’s margins in the city down.“Folks know that I’m going to get things done, and that’s exactly what they can expect from me as the next congressman,” said Bell on Wednesday, pointing to his record as prosecutor and as a Ferguson City Council member.Still, the results show that Black residents in the plurality African American district were starkly divided over Bush and Bell. And it will be up to Bell, who is likely to win in November in the heavily Democratic district, to bridge schisms that emerged from one of the most expensive and contentious congressional races in recent St. Louis history.
Brian Munoz
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St. Louis Public RadioMissouri Lt. Gov. Mike Kehoe won a resounding victory on Tuesday to become the GOP nominee for governor.
How did Kehoe break a GOP gubernatorial logjam?Lt. Gov. Mike Kehoe comfortably prevailed on Tuesday over state Sen. Bill Eigel and Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft.This wasn’t expected a few months ago, when polls showed Ashcroft leading the field by a wide margin. But the combination of Kehoe’s well-funded campaign and endorsements from key elected officials and interest groups was clearly enough to outlast Eigel and Ashcroft.And perhaps even Kehoe’s biggest vulnerability — his voting record — which some criticized as not conservative enough, was neutralized after former President Donald Trump endorsed all three major candidates.Kehoe said Wednesday that if he was really too liberal for Republican voters, then Trump likely wouldn’t have backed his campaign.“I talked to President Trump personally last night. He was very excited,” Kehoe said. “And Eigel and Ashcroft kept saying that [I wasn’t conservative]. But Trump said: ‘No, Kehoe is not some crazy liberal.’ So they were essentially saying Donald Trump was wrong. I think that probably didn’t work out so well.”
Brian Munoz
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St. Louis Public RadioMissouri Gov. Mike Parson on Jan. 25 in his office at the Capitol in Jefferson City
What do the statewide results say about Parson’s political legacy?Tuesday’s results showed Gov. Mike Parson is not as unpopular with Republicans as some conservative elements of the party assume.Ashcroft and Eigel spent months lambasting Parson’s budgetary decisions, making the contention that he grew state government at an alarming rate. Both of them lost to Kehoe.Parson’s two latest statewide appointees, state Treasurer Vivek Malek and Attorney General Andrew Bailey, cruised to victory over well-funded or better-known challengers.Like any governor, Parson has a legacy that’s complicated and probably won’t be fully realized until long after he’s left office. But there’s no doubt that all five of his statewide appointees — Bailey, Malek, Kehoe, U.S. Sen. Eric Schmitt and state Auditor Scott Fitzpatrick — didn’t see their political stock drop because of their association with him.
Greta Cross
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Springfield News-Leader Missouri Democratic gubernatorial nominee Crystal Quade speaks to a crowd of family, friends and supporters at Big Momma’s Coffee and Espresso Bar in Springfield after winning the primary on Tuesday.
Can money beat institutional support in the Democratic contest for governor?House Minority Leader Crystal Quade easily defeated Springfield businessman Mike Hamra, even though Hamra poured in more than $2 million of his own money to fund scores of television ads.While Quade wasn’t exactly penniless, there was a reasonable concern that she could lose to a better-funded candidate who was on television or radio for a longer period of time.But Quade had many more endorsements from elected officials and organized labor groups, something that clearly helped her run up large margins of victory in Jackson, Boone and St. Louis counties. She’ll enter the general election campaign as the underdog against Kehoe, but she is banking on increased Democratic turnout from a likely initiative to legalize abortion to help her cause.“We can look to our neighboring red states of Kansas and Kentucky, where they were able to stop abortion bans and then elect Democratic governors,” Quade said Wednesday.
Tristen Rouse
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St. Louis Public RadioLucas Kunce, a Democratic candidate for Senate, holds a rally in August 2023 at the District 9 Machinist Hall in Bridgeton. Kunce easily won his primary Tuesday to take on Republican Josh Hawley in November.
Can Kunce bounce back from his disappointing 2022?Kunce overwhelmingly won over state Sen. Karla May, carrying pretty much every one of the state’s counties — with the exception of some lightly populated areas of Missouri’s Bootheel.He now goes into the general election against Hawley with a new challenge: continuing to prove that he can keep the race competitive and potentially get critical groups like the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee to buy into his candidacy.In the immediate term, Hawley has challenged Kunce to an unmoderated Lincoln-Douglas style debate at the State Fair in Sedalia — on the back of a flatbed truck. Kunce wants to have debates on places like Fox News and even proposed having television stations help broadcast a moderated event in Sedalia.
Cristina Fletes-Mach
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St. Louis Public RadioBob Onder greets Ellyana Wilson, 16, far right, and her brother, Lincoln, 13, at the Soda Museum in St. Charles, after winning the Republican primary for Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District on Tuesday.
Does Trump’s endorsement make a difference?While Trump ended up making multicandidate endorsements in contests for governor, attorney general and lieutenant governor, the GOP presidential nominee endorsed only Bob Onder in his contentious battle in the 3rd Congressional District race against former state Sen. Kurt Schaefer.Onder likely needed that endorsement since Schaefer received millions of dollars’ worth of backup from third-party groups. Schaefer also had the support of retiring Congressman Blaine Luetkemeyer, Onder’s longtime rival who spent hundreds of thousands to try to defeat the St. Charles County Republican.“I don’t think there’s any endorsement in American politics, maybe in the history of American politics, that can be more impactful than the endorsement of President Trump,” Onder said Wednesday.The multicandidate endorsement likely made a difference as well. In addition to insulating Kehoe against charges that he was too moderate for a GOP primary, Trump backing Bailey and Will Scharf likely benefited Bailey. That’s because Scharf served as Trump’s lawyer.
Eric Lee
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St. Louis Public RadioSen. Denny Hoskins, R-Warrensburg, during a post-session press conference on Jan. 25 in Jefferson City. Hoskins won a crowded race for secretary of state and will face state Rep. Barbara Phifer, D-Kirkwood, in November.
What percentage will the winner of the GOP primary for secretary of state get?Sen. Denny Hoskins outhustled seven other Republican contenders to nab the GOP nomination to succeed Ashcroft with over 24% of the vote. And even though Hoskins had less money than more prominent legislators like House Speaker Dean Plocher, he almost certainly benefited from Eigel’s stronger-than-expected showing.Should he defeat Democratic state Rep. Barbara Phifer in November, Hoskins’ next challenge will be implementing some of his platform — including requiring hand counting of ballots. That’s almost certain to provoke intense opposition among local election officials who will contend that such a requirement would make it take much longer to count votes.
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Politics
Poll: Support for Missouri abortion rights amendment growing

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A proposed constitutional amendment legalizing abortion in Missouri received support from more than half of respondents in a new poll from St. Louis University and YouGov.That’s a boost from a poll earlier this year, which could mean what’s known as Amendment 3 is in a solid position to pass in November.SLU/YouGov’s poll of 900 likely Missouri voters from Aug. 8-16 found that 52% of respondents would vote for Amendment 3, which would place constitutional protections for abortion up to fetal viability. Thirty-four percent would vote against the measure, while 14% aren’t sure.By comparison, the SLU/YouGov poll from February found that 44% of voters would back the abortion legalization amendment.St. Louis University political science professor Steven Rogers said 32% of Republicans and 53% of independents would vote for the amendment. That’s in addition to nearly 80% of Democratic respondents who would approve the measure. In the previous poll, 24% of Republicans supported the amendment.Rogers noted that neither Amendment 3 nor a separate ballot item raising the state’s minimum wage is helping Democratic candidates. GOP contenders for U.S. Senate, governor, lieutenant governor, treasurer and secretary of state all hold comfortable leads.“We are seeing this kind of crossover voting, a little bit, where there are voters who are basically saying, ‘I am going to the polls and I’m going to support a Republican candidate, but I’m also going to go to the polls and then I’m also going to try to expand abortion access and then raise the minimum wage,’” Rogers said.Republican gubernatorial nominee Mike Kehoe has a 51%-41% lead over Democrat Crystal Quade. And U.S. Sen. Josh Hawley is leading Democrat Lucas Kunce by 53% to 42%. Some GOP candidates for attorney general, secretary of state and treasurer have even larger leads over their Democratic rivals.
Brian Munoz
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St. Louis Public RadioHundreds of demonstrators pack into a parking lot at Planned Parenthood of St. Louis and Southwest Missouri on June 24, 2022, during a demonstration following the Supreme Court’s reversal of a case that guaranteed the constitutional right to an abortion.
One of the biggest challenges for foes of Amendment 3 could be financial.Typically, Missouri ballot initiatives with well-funded and well-organized campaigns have a better chance of passing — especially if the opposition is underfunded and disorganized. Since the end of July, the campaign committee formed to pass Amendment 3 received more than $3 million in donations of $5,000 or more.That money could be used for television advertisements to improve the proposal’s standing further, Rogers said, as well as point out that Missouri’s current abortion ban doesn’t allow the procedure in the case of rape or incest.“Meanwhile, the anti side won’t have those resources to kind of try to make that counter argument as strongly, and they don’t have public opinion as strongly on their side,” Rogers said.There is precedent of a well-funded initiative almost failing due to opposition from socially conservative voters.In 2006, a measure providing constitutional protections for embryonic stem cell research nearly failed — even though a campaign committee aimed at passing it had a commanding financial advantage.Former state Sen. Bob Onder was part of the opposition campaign to that measure. He said earlier this month it is possible to create a similar dynamic in 2024 against Amendment 3, if social conservatives who oppose abortion rights can band together.“This is not about reproductive rights or care for miscarriages or IVF or anything else,” said Onder, the GOP nominee for Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District seat. “Missourians will learn that out-of-state special interests and dark money from out of state is lying to them and they will reject this amendment.”Quade said earlier this month that Missourians of all political ideologies are ready to roll back the state’s abortion ban.“Regardless of political party, we hear from folks who are tired of politicians being in their doctor’s offices,” Quade said. “They want politicians to mind their own business. So this is going to excite folks all across the political spectrum.”
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Democrat Mark Osmack makes his case for Missouri treasurer

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Mark Osmack has been out of the electoral fray for awhile, but he never completely abandoned his passion for Missouri politics.Osmack, a Valley Park native and U.S. Army veteran, previously ran for Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District seat and for state Senate. Now he’s the Democratic nominee for state treasurer after receiving a phone call from Missouri Democratic Party Chairman Russ Carnahan asking him to run.“There’s a lot of decision making and processing and evaluation that goes into it, which is something I am very passionate and interested in,” Osmack said this week on an episode of Politically Speaking.Osmack is squaring off against state Treasurer Vivek Malek, who was able to easily win a crowded GOP primary against several veteran lawmakers including House Budget Chairman Cody Smith and state Sen. Andrew Koenig.While Malek was able to attract big donations to his political action committee and pour his own money into the campaign, Osmack isn’t worried that he won’t be able to compete in November. Since Malek was appointed to his post, Osmack contends he hasn’t proven that he’s a formidable opponent in a general election.“His actions and his decision making so far in his roughly two year tenure in that office have been questionable,” Osmack said.Among other things, Osmack was critical of Malek for placing unclaimed property notices on video gaming machines which are usually found in gas stations or convenience stores. The legality of the machines has been questioned for some time.As Malek explained on his own episode of Politically Speaking, he wanted to make sure the unclaimed property program was as widely advertised as possible. But he acknowledged it was a mistake to put the decals close to the machines and ultimately decided to remove them.Osmack said: “This doesn’t even pass the common sense sniff test of, ‘Hey, should I put state stickers claiming you might have a billion dollars on a gambling machine that is not registered with the state of Missouri?’ If we’re gonna give kudos for him acknowledging the wrong thing, it never should have been done in the first place.”Osmack’s platform includes supporting programs providing school meals using Missouri agriculture products and making child care more accessible for the working class.He said the fact that Missouri has such a large surplus shows that it’s possible to create programs to make child care within reach for parents.“It is quite audacious for [Republicans] to brag about $8 billion, with a B, dollars in state surplus, while we offer next to no social services to include pre-K, daycare, or child care,” Osmack said.Here’s are some other topics Osmack discussed on the show:How he would handle managing the state’s pension systems and approving low-income housing tax credits. The state treasurer’s office is on boards overseeing both of those programs.Malek’s decision to cut off investments from Chinese companies. Osmack said that Missouri needs to be cautious about abandoning China as a business partner, especially since they’re a major consumer of the state’s agriculture products. “There’s a way to make this work where we are not supporting communist nations to the detriment of the United States or our allies, while also maintaining strong economic ties that benefit Missouri farmers,” he said.What it was like to witness the skirmish at the Missouri State Fair between U.S. Sen. Josh Hawley and Democratic challenger Lucas Kunce.Whether Kunce can get the support of influential groups like the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, which often channels money and staff to states with competitive Senate elections.
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As Illinois receives praise for its cannabis equity efforts, stakeholders work on system’s flaws

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Medical marijuana patients can now purchase cannabis grown by small businesses as part of their allotment, Illinois’ top cannabis regulator said, but smaller, newly licensed cannabis growers are still seeking greater access to the state’s medical marijuana customers.Illinois legalized medicinal marijuana beginning in 2014, then legalized it for recreational use in 2020. While the 2020 law legalized cannabis use for any adult age 21 or older, it did not expand licensing for medical dispensaries.Patients can purchase marijuana as part of the medical cannabis program at dual-purpose dispensaries, which are licensed to serve both medical and recreational customers. But dual-purpose dispensaries are greatly outnumbered by dispensaries only licensed to sell recreationally, and there are no medical-only dispensaries in the state.As another part of the adult-use legalization law, lawmakers created a “craft grow” license category that was designed to give more opportunities to Illinoisans hoping to legally grow and sell marijuana. The smaller-scale grow operations were part of the 2020 law’s efforts to diversify the cannabis industry in Illinois.Prior to that, all cultivation centers in Illinois were large-scale operations dominated by large multi-state operators. The existing cultivators, mostly in operation since 2014, were allowed to grow recreational cannabis beginning in 2019.Until recently, dual-purpose dispensaries have been unsure as to whether craft-grown products, made by social equity licensees — those who have lived in a disproportionately impacted area or have been historically impacted by the war on drugs — can be sold medicinally as part of a patient’s medical allotment.Erin Johnson, the state’s cannabis regulation oversight officer, told Capitol News Illinois last month that her office has “been telling dispensaries, as they have been asking us” they can now sell craft-grown products to medical patients.“There was just a track and trace issue on our end, but never anything statutorily,” she said.
Dilpreet Raju
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Capitol News IllinoisThe graphic shows how cannabis grown in Illinois gets from cultivation centers to customers.
No notice has been posted, but Johnson’s verbal guidance comes almost two years after the first craft grow business went online in Illinois.It allows roughly 150,000 medical patients, who dispensary owners say are the most consistent purchasers of marijuana, to buy products made by social equity businesses without paying recreational taxes. However — even as more dispensaries open — the number available to medical patients has not increased since 2018, something the Cannabis Regulation Oversight Office “desperately” wants to see changed. Johnson said Illinois is a limited license state, meaning “there are caps on everything” to help control the relatively new market.Berwyn Thompkins, who operates two cannabis businesses, said the rules limited options for patients and small businesses.“It’s about access,” Thompkins said. “Why wouldn’t we want all the patients — which the (adult-use) program was initially built around — why wouldn’t we want them to have access? They should have access to any dispensary.”Customers with a medical marijuana card pay a 1% tax on all marijuana products, whereas recreational customers pay retail taxes between roughly 20 and 40% on a given cannabis product, when accounting for local taxes.While Illinois has received praise for its equity-focused cannabis law, including through an independent study that showed more people of color own cannabis licenses than in any other state, some industry operators say they’ve experienced many unnecessary hurdles getting their businesses up and running.The state, in fact, announced last month that it had opened its 100th social equity dispensary.But Steve Olson, purchasing manager at a pair of dispensaries (including one dual-purpose dispensary) near Rockford, said small specialty license holders have been left in the lurch since the first craft grower opened in October 2022.“You would think that this would be something they’re (the government) trying to help out these social equity companies with, but they’re putting handcuffs on them in so many different spots,” he said. “One of them being this medical thing.”Olson said he contacted state agencies, including the Department of Financial and Professional Regulation, months ago about whether craft products can be sold to medical patients at their retail tax rate, but only heard one response: “They all say it was an oversight.”This potentially hurt social equity companies because they sell wholesale to dispensaries and may have been missing out on a consistent customer base through those medical dispensaries.Olson said the state’s attempts to provide licensees with a path to a successful business over the years, such as with corrective lotteries that granted more social equity licenses, have come up short.“It’s like they almost set up the social equity thing to fail so the big guys could come in and swoop up all these licenses,” Olson said. “I hate to feel like that but, if you look at it, it’s pretty black and white.”Olson said craft companies benefit from any type of retail sale.“If we sell it to medical patients or not, it’s a matter of, ‘Are we collecting the proper taxes?’ That’s all it is,” he said.State revenue from cannabis taxes, licensing costs and other fees goes into the Cannabis Regulation Fund, which is used to fund a host of programs, including cannabis offense expungement, the general revenue fund, and the R3 campaign aiming to uplift disinvested communities.For fiscal year 2024, nearly $256 million was paid out from Cannabis Regulation Fund for related initiatives, which includes almost $89 million transferred to the state’s general revenue fund and more than $20 million distributed to local governments, according to the Illinois Department of Revenue.Medical access still limitedThe state’s 55 medical dispensaries that predate the 2020 legalization law, mostly owned by publicly traded multistate operators that had been operating in Illinois since 2014 under the state’s medical marijuana program, were automatically granted a right to licenses to sell recreationally in January 2020. That gave them a dual-purpose license that no new entrants into the market can receive under current law.Since expanding their clientele in 2020, Illinois dispensaries have sold more than $6 billion worth of cannabis products through recreational transactions alone.Nearly two-thirds of dispensaries licensed to sell to medical patients are in the northeast counties of Cook, DuPage, Kane, Lake and Will. Dual-purpose dispensaries only represent about 20 percent of the state’s dispensaries.While the state began offering recreational dispensary licenses since the adult-use legalization law passed, it has not granted a new medical dispensary license since 2018. That has allowed the established players to continue to corner the market on the state’s nearly 150,000 medical marijuana patients.But social equity licensees and advocates say there are more ways to level the playing field, including expanding access to medical sales.Johnson, who became the state’s top cannabis regulator in late 2022, expressed hope for movement during the fall veto session on House Bill 2911, which would expand medical access to all Illinois dispensaries.“We would like every single dispensary in Illinois to be able to serve medical patients,” Johnson said. “It’s something that medical patients have been asking for, for years.”Johnson said the bill would benefit patients and small businesses.“It’s something we desperately want to happen as a state system, because we want to make sure that medical patients are able to easily access what they need,” she said. “We also think it’s good for our social equity dispensaries, as they’re opening, to be able to serve medical patients.”Rep. Bob Morgan, D-Deerfield, who was the first statewide project coordinator for Illinois’ medical cannabis program prior to joining the legislature, wrote in an email to Capitol News Illinois that the state needs to be doing more for its patients.“Illinois is failing the state’s 150,000 medical cannabis patients with debilitating conditions. Too many are still denied the patient protections they deserve, including access to their medicine,” Morgan wrote, adding he would continue to work with stakeholders on further legislation.Capitol News Illinois is a nonprofit, nonpartisan news service covering state government. It is distributed to hundreds of newspapers, radio and TV stations statewide. It is funded primarily by the Illinois Press Foundation and the Robert R. McCormick Foundation, along with major contributions from the Illinois Broadcasters Foundation and Southern Illinois Editorial Association.
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